CES 2014: IHS upgrades shipping forecast for UltraHD TVs

Editor | 06-01-2014

On the eve of the world's largest consumer electronics show, leading analyst IHS has revealed that it is upgrading its forecast of shipments of both tablets and 4K-compatible TVs.

Driven by the arrival of a number of white label devices originating from Asia, IHS predicts that tablet shipments — including both media tablets and PC-type tablets — will continue their inexorable rise to 488 million in 2017, up from 141 million in 2012. Shipments in 2014 alone are expected to boom, up 72% to reach 243 million units. "Shipments of tablets in 2013 and the coming years primarily are being boosted by the massive influx of low-cost white box devices from Asia," noted Rhoda Alexander, director of tablet research at IHS. "Market volumes in 2014 and beyond also will be driven by rising shipments of PC-type tablets, which will be prominently displayed at CES this year. This will be a make-or-break year for Windows-based PC tablets."

But it is with the emerging UltraHD TV set arena, serving the nascent 4KTV market, that most interest lies. After observing what it called "swift" reductions in pricing, IHS now predicts 38.5 million UltraHD LCD TV sets will ship in 2018, up from 1.5 million in 2013. IHS is forecasting huge growth for 2014 with shipments soaring by 500% to reach 10 million in 2014.

"While television brands will show off their massive new ultra-high-definition sets at CES, the real focus for UltraHD makers in 2014 will be cost reduction," said Jusy Hong, senior analyst for consumer electronics & technology at IHS. "Lower pricing will enable the market to expand — but UltraHD sets still have a long way to go before they command a major share of the overall market. In 2018, UltraHD will account for only about 16% of all LCD TV shipments."