Research: Smartphone shipments plummet in Middle East
August 12, 2026



Smartphone shipments in the Middle East (excluding Türkiye) fell 19 per cent year-on-year to 10.6 million units in Q2 2026, the region’s sharpest decline rates since Q4 2025, according to research from Omdia.

Price increases, supply constraints, and geopolitical uncertainty have pushed vendors to prioritise value over shipment volumes, while retailers across the region have adopted more cautious inventory strategies alongside weakening consumer confidence.


Strategic premiumisation reshapes market dynamics

Q2 2026 reflected a region-wide recalibration as vendors passed on escalating component costs while seeking to move upmarket through stronger mid-to-high-end positioning. Shipments of smartphones priced below $200 fell 42 per cent compared with Q23 2025, highlighting the significant pricing and supply challenges facing businesses focused on the entry-level segment. Markets with greater exposure to entry-level devices recorded some of the largest declines in the region, including Iraq, where shipments fell 36 per cent YoY.

Meanwhile, the mid-range has become the core strategic focus for OEMs. Rather than compromising specifications to defend volume, vendors are maintaining premium features, across memory and storage configurations, cameras, batteries and AI capabilities. Shipments of devices priced above $300 grew 16 per cent year-on-year, with devices featuring 256GB of storage accounted for 55 per cent of shipments demonstrating how OEMs are raising consumers’ baseline expectations.

The premium segment also remained resilient, with shipments of devices priced above $800 reaching 1.9 million units – the highest Q2 high-end volume for the segment to date in the Middle East. Apple’s continued popularity was the biggest driver for the premium segment’s growth. The UAE and Qatar proved particularly receptive to vendors’ premiumisation strategies. In the UAE, the developed retail ecosystem, including Sharaf DG, Emax and online platforms, leveraged installment financing to support higher-value upgrades, limiting the market’s decline to 7 per cent. Meanwhile, Qatar’s 2 per cent growth reflected relatively stable economic conditions and sustained premium demand.

As a result of the challenges at the low-end and resilience across mid-to-high-end, the average selling price (ASP) surged 25 per cent year-on-year to $448, the highest-ever ASP for a second quarter.

“We are observing a convergence of necessity and strategy in the Middle East’s smartphone market,” commented Manish Pravinkumar, Principal Analyst at Omdia. “Vendors are preserving product competitiveness and brand positioning while acknowledging that short-term volume sacrifices are unavoidable. Prioritizing profitability and revenue over volume and market share growth has become critical in an increasingly challenging operating environment, even at the expense of short-term results. This strategic shift reflects lessons learned during previous cost cycles, where aggressive price competition destroyed profitability without establishing sustainable market foundations.”

Vendor performance reflects strategic positioning

Samsung retained the top position with a 39 per cent market share despite a 7 per cent shipment decline, balancing the volume-driving Galaxy A-series with Galaxy S26 models positioned to protect profitability. HONOR grew 2 per cent defending its position as the region’s second-largest vendor.

TRANSSION and Xiaomi ranked third and fourth respectively, but both faced significant headwinds as persistent pricing pressures and declining affordability constrained demand among entry-level consumers. Shipments fell 40 per cent for TRANSSION and 50 per cemt for Xiaomi. Both vendors’ cost-performance positioning has been challenged by limited flexibility to absorb component inflation without impacting demand.

Apple grew 1 per cent compared to Q2 2025, as resilient premium demand, ecosystem strength and access to financing helped insulate it from broader market pressures in Q2 2026.